Today's Market Exceptions Highlights:
Exception 1 - Today is a day following a solid up day which was proceeded by a negative doji day (Close and open less than 1 point apart). The solid up day violated the high of the doji day. We have had 12 such days that the up day closed more than 0.8% above the high of doji day. If you bought at the open of next days and sold at close, you would have had a win rate of 75% and a win/loss ratio(PF) of 4.8.I run this same test for various percentage of increase instead of 0.8%. Here is the complete result:
Pct Sample Size Win Rate PF
0.8% 12 75% 4.80.7 15 73% 4.38
0.6 19 74% 3.25
0.5 21 76% 4.25
0.4 28 71% 5.64
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This forecast is based on analysis of data tables prepared by computer simulation and modeling every night based on more than 12 year of data.
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